← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sun, Aug 14, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 41% | 2.32 |
| St Truiden win | 30% | 3.24 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden +0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Anderlecht +0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.77 |
| Over | 45% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Jo Coppens · St Truiden |
| 28' | 🟨 | Robert Bauer · St Truiden |
| 36' | 🟨 | Hannes Delcroix · Anderlecht |
| 43' | ⚽ | Lior Refaelov · Anderlecht |
| 45' | ⚽ | Fábio Silva · Anderlecht |
| 46' | 🟨 | Adrien Trebel · Anderlecht |
| 67' | 🟨 | Shinji Kagawa · St Truiden |
| 70' | 🟨 | Christian Brüls · St Truiden |
| 74' | ⚽ | Benito Raman · Anderlecht |
| 84' | 🟨 | Zeno Debast · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium |
| coach days | 409.00 | 105.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1589.34 | 1718.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.60 | 11.50 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.85 | 0.69 |
| league points | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 7.80 | 2.73 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.19 | 0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.43 | 23.40 |
| state index | 0.68 | 0.87 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.45 | 0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |