← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Aug 6, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Vergoote
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 50% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.90 |
| Mechelen win | 25% | 3.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise +0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Mechelen +0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Viktor Boone · St. Gilloise |
| 44' | ⚽ | Rob Schoofs · Mechelen |
| 51' | ⚽ (og) | Lazare Amani · Mechelen |
| 56' | 🟨 | Ilyes Ziani · St. Gilloise |
| 58' | 🟨 | Teddy Teuma · St. Gilloise |
| 59' | ⚽ | Julien Ngoy · Mechelen |
| 60' | 🟨 | Dimitri Lavalėe · Mechelen |
| 65' | 🟨 | Rob Schoofs · Mechelen |
| 88' | 🟨 | Loïc Lapoussin · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cameron Puertas · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne |
| coach days | 66.00 | 66.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.69 | 3.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.69 |
| elo | 1527.75 | 1719.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -40.98 | -0.18 |
| eye test v1 | 0.59 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.72 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.78 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.40 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.06 | 0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.58 | 25.74 |
| state index | -0.62 | 0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.61 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |