← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Aug 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Boucaut
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 66% | 1.47 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.04 |
| AS Eupen win | 15% | 6.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Eupen −1.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Genk −1.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.44 |
| Under | 33% | 2.87 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Joseph Paintsil · Genk |
| 8' | ⚽ | Joseph Paintsil · Genk |
| 32' | ⚽ | Smail Prevljak · AS Eupen |
| 37' | ⚽ | Patrik Hrošovský · Genk |
| 59' | ⚽ | Regan Charles-Cook · AS Eupen |
| 60' | 🟨 | Stef Peeters · AS Eupen |
| 65' | 🟨 | Jan Král · AS Eupen |
| 83' | 🟨 | Stef Peeters · AS Eupen |
| 83' | 🟥 | Stef Peeters · AS Eupen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mike Trésor · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 24 | Shots | 9 |
| 14 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.82 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| coach days | 97.00 | 66.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1631.77 | 1466.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.19 | -4.06 |
| eye test v1 | 1.22 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.40 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.63 |
| league points | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.56 | -0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 24.34 | 24.29 |
| state index | 0.37 | -0.73 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |