← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sun, Jul 31, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Lardot
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Seraing United win | 31% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Seraing United +0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Kortrijk +0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Simon Elisor · Seraing United |
| 26' | 🟥 | Amine Benchaib · Kortrijk |
| 29' | 🟨 | Pape Habib Gueye · Kortrijk |
| 58' | ⚽ | Tsuyoshi Watanabe · Kortrijk |
| 64' | 🟨 | Leroy Abanda · Seraing United |
| 87' | 🟥 | Marvin Tshibuabua · Seraing United |
| 90' | 🟨 | Habib Keita · Kortrijk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Seraing United | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.18 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade du Pairay |
| coach days | 211.00 | 545.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1417.78 | 1428.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.85 | -52.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.79 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.70 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 8.01 | 8.01 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.57 | -0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 25.44 | 24.36 |
| state index | -0.64 | -1.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.34 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.10 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |