← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sun, Jul 31, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 60% | 1.58 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.50 |
| Standard win | 19% | 5.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard −1 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Genk −1 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under | 38% | 2.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Cyriel Dessers · Genk |
| 16' | ⚽ | Mike Trésor · Genk |
| 17' | 🟨 | Bryan Heynen · Genk |
| 24' | ⚽ | Denis Drăguş · Standard |
| 26' | 🟨 | Gilles Dewaele · Standard |
| 29' | ⚽ (pen) | Cyriel Dessers · Genk |
| 40' | 🟨 | Bilal El Khannouss · Genk |
| 65' | 🟨 | Denis Drăguş · Standard |
| 78' | 🟨 | Gojko Cimirot · Standard |
| 85' | 🟨 | Selim Amallah · Standard |
| 90' | 🟨 | Maarten Vandevoordt · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.84 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.80 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| coach days | 91.00 | 60.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1624.52 | 1485.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.57 | -17.50 |
| eye test v1 | 1.15 | -1.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.73 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.70 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.68 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.30 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 24.91 | 24.90 |
| state index | 0.11 | -0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.00 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |