← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Jul 30, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: W. Smet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 43% | 2.22 |
| Oostende win | 31% | 3.18 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.71 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oostende +0.25 | 51% | 1.95 |
| Mechelen +0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | David Atanga · Oostende |
| 43' | ⚽ | David Atanga · Oostende |
| 55' | 🟥 | Alessandro Albanese · Oostende |
| 63' | 🟨 | Marian Shved · Mechelen |
| 65' | 🟨 | Nick Bätzner · Oostende |
| 75' | ⚽ | Thibault Peyre · Mechelen |
| 89' | 🟨 | Alec Van Hoorenbeeck · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 19 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 9 |
| 5 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oostende | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 0.20 |
| venue | Diaz Arena |
| coach days | 179.00 | 59.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1450.13 | 1538.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.68 | -34.99 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | 0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.66 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.40 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 5.99 | 6.09 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.32 | 0.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 23.93 | 26.31 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.30 | 0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |