← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sun, Jul 24, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Boucaut
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 71% | 1.35 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.87 |
| Oostende win | 11% | 9.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oostende −1.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Anderlecht −1.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.56 |
| Under | 39% | 2.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Fanos Katelaris · Oostende |
| 32' | 🟨 | Andy Musayev · Oostende |
| 39' | ⚽ | Majeed Ashimeru · Anderlecht |
| 51' | 🟨 | Théo Ndicka Matam · Oostende |
| 88' | ⚽ | Fábio Silva · Anderlecht |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fanos Katelaris · Oostende |
| 90' | 🟥 | Fanos Katelaris · Oostende |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Oostende |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 84.00 | 173.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1706.81 | 1454.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.26 | 11.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.78 | 0.58 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.73 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 68.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 39.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.95 | -1.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 23.68 | 24.86 |
| state index | 0.97 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.82 | -1.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |