← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Fri, Jul 22, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 49% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.58 |
| Standard win | 24% | 4.36 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent +0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Standard +0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.86 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Alexandro Calut · Standard |
| 15' | 🟨 | Alexandro Calut · Standard |
| 15' | 🟥 | Alexandro Calut · Standard |
| 20' | 🟨 | Sulayman Marreh · Gent |
| 34' | ⚽ (pen) | Selim Amallah · Standard |
| 41' | 🟨 | Noe Dussenne · Standard |
| 57' | 🟨 | Konstantinos Laifis · Standard |
| 60' | ⚽ | Tarik Tissoudali · Gent |
| 63' | 🟨 | Hugo Cuypers · Gent |
| 79' | ⚽ | Darko Lemajić · Gent |
| 81' | 🟨 | Noah Ohio · Standard |
| 89' | ⚽ | Noe Dussenne · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 25 |
| 3 | On target | 9 |
| 2 | Corners | 12 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 0.00 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days | 51.00 | 598.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1480.87 | 1723.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.41 | 22.21 |
| eye test v1 | -1.16 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 61.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.69 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.85 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.35 | -0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 24.01 | 26.87 |
| state index | -0.49 | 1.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.34 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |