← Ligue 2 2022 · Fri, May 26, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: G. Paradis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 38% | 2.58 |
| Bastia win | 31% | 3.15 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.05 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia +0.25 | 55% | 1.75 |
| Le Havre AC +0.25 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟨 | Dominique Guidi · Bastia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Josué Casimir · Le Havre AC |
| 52' | 🟨 | Oualid El Hajjam · Le Havre AC |
| 53' | ⚽ | Dominique Guidi · Bastia |
| 60' | 🟨 | Benjamin Santelli · Bastia |
| 64' | 🟨 | Andy Logbo · Le Havre AC |
| 69' | 🟨 | Kapitbafan Djoco · Bastia |
| 69' | 🟨 | Christopher Operi · Le Havre AC |
| 88' | ⚽ | Samuel Grandsir · Le Havre AC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tom Ducrocq · Bastia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gautier Lloris · Le Havre AC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 5 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 602.00 | 359.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.99 | 3.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1532.41 | 1578.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.42 | -29.26 |
| eye test v1 | 0.30 | 0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.90 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.78 |
| league points | 60.00 | 75.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 61.40 |
| rest days | 6.07 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.26 | 1.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.08 | 25.50 |
| state index | 0.38 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.04 | 0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |