← Ligue 2 2022 · Fri, May 26, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: F. Benchabane
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Pau FC win | 30% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC −0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Rodez −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.77 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Sébastien Cibois · Rodez |
| 10' | 🟨 | Lionel Mpasi Nzau · Rodez |
| 11' | ⚽ (pen) | Yanis Begraoui · Pau FC |
| 19' | ⚽ | Remy Boissier · Rodez |
| 26' | ⚽ | Mayron George · Pau FC |
| 29' | 🟨 | Abzi Diyaeddine · Pau FC |
| 41' | ⚽ | Yanis Begraoui · Pau FC |
| 74' | ⚽ | Wilitty Younoussa · Rodez |
| 90' | 🟨 | Charles Boli · Pau FC |
| 90' | 🟥 | Antoine Batisse · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 0 |
| 17 | Fouls | 22 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Paul Lignon |
| coach days | 176.00 | 1059.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 1.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1462.36 | 1405.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.88 | -46.68 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.70 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.70 |
| league points | 47.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.60 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 7.07 | 6.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.89 | 0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 24.85 | 27.80 |
| state index | 0.09 | -1.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.82 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |