← Ligue 2 2022 · Fri, May 26, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: O. Thual
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 41% | 2.38 |
| AS Saint-Étienne win | 34% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.96 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne −0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Caen −0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.48 |
| Under | 36% | 2.72 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Ibrahima Wadji · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 23' | ⚽ | Ibrahima Wadji · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 30' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Ntim · Caen |
| 57' | 🟨 | Aimen Moueffek · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 82' | 🟨 | Gautier Larsonneur · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 83' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 85' | ⚽ | Samuel Essende · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 22 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | AS Saint-Étienne |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 724.00 | 329.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 3.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1520.34 | 1551.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.10 | 13.29 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | 0.95 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 61.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.75 |
| league points | 58.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 63.60 |
| rest days | 6.07 | 6.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 17.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.56 | 1.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 27.55 | 26.64 |
| state index | 0.44 | 0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | 0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |