← Ligue 2 2022 · Mon, May 22, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: K. Abed
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 57% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Valenciennes win | 17% | 6.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC −0.75 | 52% | 1.91 |
| Valenciennes −0.75 | 48% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.77 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Arthur Desmas · Le Havre AC |
| 7' | ⚽ (pen) | Adrian Grbić · Valenciennes |
| 42' | 🟨 | Jordan Poha · Valenciennes |
| 45' | 🟨 | Gautier Lloris · Le Havre AC |
| 45' | ⚽ | Mohamed Kaba · Valenciennes |
| 79' | 🟨 | Quentin Lecoeuche · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 20 | Shots | 6 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Océane |
| coach days | 355.00 | 51.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 2.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1603.13 | 1413.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.27 | 4.93 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.71 | -0.61 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.80 | 63.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.65 |
| league points | 75.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 2.03 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.78 | 0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.42 | 23.95 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.35 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |