← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, May 20, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Valnet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz win | 57% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.97 |
| Guingamp win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz +0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Guingamp +0.75 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.88 |
| Over | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Georges Mikautadze · Metz |
| 41' | 🟨 | Joseph N'Duquidi · Metz |
| 60' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Courtet · Guingamp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Koffi Kouao · Metz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Metz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 749.00 | 353.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1477.52 | 1644.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.92 | 33.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.04 | 1.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.10 | 65.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.79 |
| league points | 48.00 | 71.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.43 | 0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 25.83 | 26.84 |
| state index | 0.12 | 1.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | -0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |