← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, May 13, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Valnet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 65% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.70 |
| Niort win | 13% | 7.57 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Niort −1.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Bastia −1.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.80 |
| Under | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | 🟨 | Oumar Ngom · Niort |
| 47' | 🟨 | Dylan Durivaux · Niort |
| 49' | ⚽ | Kevin Van Den Kerkhof · Bastia |
| 53' | 🟨 | Dylan Tavares · Bastia |
| 54' | ⚽ | Oumar Ngom · Niort |
| 71' | ⚽ (pen) | Benjamin Santelli · Bastia |
| 73' | 🟨 | Lloyd Palun · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Niort |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.40 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 589.00 | 73.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.18 | 1.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1511.32 | 1338.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.75 | -28.77 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.64 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.40 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.68 |
| league points | 54.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.68 | 0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 28.05 | 25.22 |
| state index | -0.04 | -1.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.77 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |