← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, May 13, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: W. Toulliou
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes win | 41% | 2.39 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Pau FC win | 29% | 3.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC −0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Valenciennes −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Sessi D'Almeida · Pau FC |
| 55' | 🟨 | Julien Masson · Valenciennes |
| 66' | ⚽ | Adrian Grbić · Valenciennes |
| 68' | 🟨 | Adrian Grbić · Valenciennes |
| 74' | 🟨 | Mons Bassouamina · Pau FC |
| 76' | 🟨 | Xavier Kouassi · Pau FC |
| 79' | ⚽ | Mayron George · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 42.00 | 1046.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1415.24 | 1420.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.71 | -6.49 |
| eye test v1 | 0.03 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.40 | 60.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.70 |
| league points | 40.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 24.41 | 27.44 |
| state index | -0.55 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |