← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, May 13, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Legat
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.68 |
| Nimes win | 22% | 4.28 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Nimes −0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | 🟨 | Maël de Gevigney · Nimes |
| 52' | ⚽ | Thibault Vargas · Nimes |
| 57' | ⚽ (pen) | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 69' | ⚽ | Hianga'a M'Bock · Caen |
| 76' | 🟨 | Godson Kyeremeh · Caen |
| 82' | 🟨 | Mehdi Zerkane · Nimes |
| 83' | ⚽ (pen) | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 84' | ⚽ | Rafiki Saïd · Nimes |
| 90' | ⚽ | Godson Kyeremeh · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Nimes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 711.00 | 193.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 3.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1498.08 | 1415.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.71 | -19.46 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | 0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.62 |
| league points | 52.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 7.17 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | 0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.19 | 26.54 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |