β Ligue 2 2022 Β· Sat, May 6, 05:00 PM UTC Β· ref: A. Souifi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Laval win | 42% | 2.24 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.05 |
| Bastia win | 26% | 3.83 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Laval β0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Bastia β0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.57 |
| Over | 38% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | β½ | Simon Elisor Β· Laval |
| 25' | β½ (pen) | Simon Elisor Β· Laval |
| 46' | π¨ | Edson Seidou Β· Laval |
| 63' | π¨ | Lloyd Palun Β· Bastia |
| 72' | β½ | Frank Magri Β· Bastia |
| 77' | π¨ | Dominique Guidi Β· Bastia |
| 77' | π¨ | Abdoulaye Ndiaye Β· Bastia |
| 78' | π¨ | Frank Magri Β· Bastia |
| 80' | π¨ | Kevin Tapoko Β· Laval |
| 87' | π¨ | Frank Magri Β· Bastia |
| 87' | π₯ | Frank Magri Β· Bastia |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Laval | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade Francis Le Basser |
| coach days | 1405.00 | 582.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.68 | 3.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1362.88 | 1524.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.33 | 5.52 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.80 | -0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.00 | 64.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| league points | 37.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.68 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 29.60 | 28.80 |
| state index | -0.73 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.87 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |