← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, May 6, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Landry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nimes win | 44% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.27 |
| Valenciennes win | 26% | 3.88 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nimes −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Valenciennes −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over | 44% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Rafiki Saïd · Nimes |
| 21' | 🟨 | Ilyes Hamache · Valenciennes |
| 41' | 🟨 | Malik Tchokounte · Nimes |
| 44' | ⚽ | Ilyes Hamache · Valenciennes |
| 61' | ⚽ | Aymen Boutoutaou · Valenciennes |
| 65' | ⚽ | Benoît Poulain · Nimes |
| 70' | ⚽ | Aymen Boutoutaou · Valenciennes |
| 71' | ⚽ | Nicolas Benezet · Nimes |
| 86' | 🟨 | Jonathan Buatu · Valenciennes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Steve Ambri · Nimes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nimes | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.52 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade des Costières |
| coach days | 186.00 | 35.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.78 | 2.04 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1417.25 | 1413.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.99 | -12.23 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 64.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | — |
| league points | 35.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.37 | 0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.78 | 25.03 |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |