← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Apr 29, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Benchabane
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 52% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Amiens win | 21% | 4.73 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia −0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Amiens −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.78 |
| Over | 45% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Kevin Schur · Bastia |
| 36' | ⚽ | Youssouf Assogba · Amiens |
| 90' | 🟨 | Johny Placide · Bastia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sebastian Ring · Amiens |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 22 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 575.00 | 28.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1529.12 | 1399.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.23 | -46.32 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.53 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.40 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.65 |
| league points | 53.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.23 | 0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.12 | 24.39 |
| state index | 0.43 | -1.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | 1.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |