← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Apr 29, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Valnet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Valenciennes win | 24% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes +0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Bordeaux +0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Josh Maja · Bordeaux |
| 39' | 🟨 | Jordan Poha · Valenciennes |
| 69' | ⚽ | Yoann Barbet · Bordeaux |
| 82' | ⚽ | Josh Maja · Bordeaux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 12 |
| 0 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Bordeaux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.58 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 28.00 | 452.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1423.70 | 1596.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.41 | 18.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.79 | 0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.00 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.50 |
| league points | 39.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.12 | 0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 24.38 | 25.36 |
| state index | -0.48 | 0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | 0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |