← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Apr 29, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Petit
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nimes win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Pau FC win | 32% | 3.11 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC −0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Nimes −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Rafiki Saïd · Nimes |
| 17' | ⚽ | Henri Saivet · Pau FC |
| 27' | 🟨 | Abzi Diyaeddine · Pau FC |
| 44' | ⚽ | Malik Tchokounte · Nimes |
| 45' | 🟨 | Xavier Kouassi · Pau FC |
| 45' | 🟨 | Antoine Batisse · Pau FC |
| 69' | 🟨 | Quentin Boisgard · Pau FC |
| 80' | 🟨 | Kelyan Guessoum · Nimes |
| 82' | 🟨 | Axel Maraval · Nimes |
| 84' | ⚽ (pen) | Yanis Begraoui · Pau FC |
| 85' | 🟨 | Maël de Gevigney · Nimes |
| 90' | ⚽ | Kelyan Guessoum · Nimes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nimes | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade des Antonins |
| coach days | 179.00 | 1032.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.92 | 1.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1407.71 | 1451.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.99 | 32.97 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.75 |
| league points | 32.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.24 | -0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.66 | 27.48 |
| state index | -0.47 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.44 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |