← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Apr 29, 12:45 PM UTC · ref: R. Lissorgue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 36% | 2.71 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.90 |
| Le Havre AC win | 31% | 3.21 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen +0 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Le Havre AC +0 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.47 |
| Over | 35% | 2.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | ⚽ | Gautier Lloris · Le Havre AC |
| 52' | 🟨 | Josué Casimir · Le Havre AC |
| 56' | ⚽ | Oussama Targhalline · Le Havre AC |
| 89' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Ntim · Caen |
| 90' | 🟥 | Amir Richardson · Le Havre AC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 11 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.19 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 697.00 | 332.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 2.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1512.83 | 1602.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.80 | -2.80 |
| eye test v1 | 0.43 | -1.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 48.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.79 |
| league points | 52.00 | 69.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 6.82 | 6.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 2.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 26.07 | 26.80 |
| state index | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |