← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Apr 22, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Souifi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 38% | 2.60 |
| Guingamp win | 31% | 3.19 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC +0 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Guingamp +0 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.61 |
| Over | 41% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Hugo Picard · Guingamp |
| 14' | ⚽ | Henri Saivet · Pau FC |
| 51' | 🟥 | Enzo Basilio · Guingamp |
| 62' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Courtet · Guingamp |
| 73' | ⚽ | Yanis Begraoui · Pau FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Maxime Sivis · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade Nouste Camp |
| coach days | 1025.00 | 721.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1442.61 | 1470.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.11 | 21.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 66.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.72 |
| league points | 37.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.59 | -0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.27 | 26.30 |
| state index | 0.02 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |