← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Apr 22, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Lissorgue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 34% | 2.92 |
| Dijon win | 34% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dijon +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Bastia +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Tom Ducrocq · Bastia |
| 58' | ⚽ | Sébastien Salles-Lamonge · Bastia |
| 66' | 🟨 | Ousseynou Thioune · Dijon |
| 71' | 🟨 | Mickaël Le Bihan · Dijon |
| 74' | 🟨 | Benjamin Santelli · Bastia |
| 74' | ⚽ | Bryan Soumaré · Dijon |
| 79' | 🟨 | Florian Bohnert · Bastia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kylian Kaiboue · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dijon | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Gaston-Gérard |
| coach days | 21.00 | 568.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1405.51 | 1530.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.23 | 23.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.57 | 0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.40 | 63.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.69 |
| league points | 32.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.97 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.11 | -0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 28.08 | 27.61 |
| state index | -0.48 | 0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.76 | -0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |