← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Apr 22, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Thual
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens win | 49% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Valenciennes win | 23% | 4.18 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Amiens −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Julien Masson · Valenciennes |
| 34' | 🟨 | Mamadou Fofana · Amiens |
| 37' | 🟨 | Nicholas Opoku · Amiens |
| 52' | ⚽ | Allan Linguet · Valenciennes |
| 65' | 🟨 | Sofiane Boudraa · Valenciennes |
| 71' | ⚽ | Jason Berthomier · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Amiens | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.69 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.57 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Crédit Agricole de la Licorne |
| coach days | 21.00 | 21.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1417.68 | 1405.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -41.02 | -26.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | 0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 64.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | — |
| league points | 40.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.72 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.72 | 24.17 |
| state index | -0.91 | -1.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.83 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |