← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Apr 15, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Buquet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 41% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.06 |
| Nimes win | 28% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nimes +0.25 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Le Havre AC +0.25 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.52 |
| Over | 36% | 2.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Pablo Pagis · Nimes |
| 45' | 🟨 | Benoît Poulain · Nimes |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Victor Lekhal · Le Havre AC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 0 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nimes | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.16 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stade des Antonins |
| coach days | 165.00 | 318.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | 2.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1426.20 | 1606.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.47 | 1.79 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | -1.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 50.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| league points | 32.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 2.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.09 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 26.50 | 26.86 |
| state index | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | 0.88 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |