← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Apr 15, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Petit
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 44% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Paris FC win | 27% | 3.79 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Paris FC −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 45' | ⚽ (og) | Samir Sophian Chergui · Caen |
| 68' | 🟨 | Ousmane Kanté · Paris FC |
| 75' | ⚽ | Godson Kyeremeh · Caen |
| 77' | 🟨 | Jordan Lefort · Paris FC |
| 81' | ⚽ (og) | Emmanuel Ntim · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.84 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 683.00 | 683.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1492.98 | 1488.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.10 | 2.82 |
| eye test v1 | 0.70 | 0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.64 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.65 |
| league points | 46.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.34 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.76 | 0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.73 | 28.71 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |