← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Apr 8, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: W. Toulliou
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.12 |
| Pau FC win | 26% | 3.71 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Pau FC +0.25 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | 🟨 | Fali Candé · Metz |
| 49' | 🟨 | Yanis Begraoui · Pau FC |
| 58' | ⚽ (og) | Jérôme Prior · Metz |
| 68' | 🟨 | Jean Ruiz · Pau FC |
| 79' | ⚽ | Mayron George · Pau FC |
| 86' | 🟨 | Joseph N'Duquidi · Metz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Metz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade Nouste Camp |
| coach days | 1011.00 | 311.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1423.27 | 1614.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.37 | 34.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.35 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.87 |
| league points | 33.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.84 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.03 | -0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.62 | 26.52 |
| state index | -0.38 | 0.96 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |