← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Apr 8, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Legat
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 49% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Guingamp win | 20% | 4.85 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Le Havre AC −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Maxime Sivis · Guingamp |
| 11' | 🟨 | Arouna Sangante · Le Havre AC |
| 69' | 🟨 | Jamal Thiaré · Le Havre AC |
| 78' | 🟨 | Oussama Targhalline · Le Havre AC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 7 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade Océane |
| coach days | 311.00 | 707.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.12 | 1.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1612.30 | 1454.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.72 | 8.28 |
| eye test v1 | -1.07 | -0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.40 | 65.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.74 |
| league points | 63.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 2.10 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.50 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.23 | 25.84 |
| state index | 0.52 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.05 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |