← Ligue 2 2022 · Mon, Apr 3, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Valnet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux win | 43% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.41 |
| Guingamp win | 29% | 3.36 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Guingamp +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Fransérgio · Bordeaux |
| 54' | 🟨 | Jules Gaudin · Guingamp |
| 58' | 🟨 | Stian Gregersen · Bordeaux |
| 60' | 🟨 | Yoann Barbet · Bordeaux |
| 74' | 🟨 | Malcom Bokele · Bordeaux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 8 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 22 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Bordeaux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.63 | 0.57 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 702.00 | 426.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1462.30 | 1582.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.48 | 17.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | 0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.40 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.70 |
| league points | 38.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 16.03 | 16.03 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 25.56 | 24.96 |
| state index | 0.04 | 0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |