← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Apr 1, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Thual
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 43% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Sochaux win | 28% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sochaux −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Bastia −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Migouel Alfarela · Bastia |
| 29' | ⚽ | Ibrahim Sissoko · Sochaux |
| 32' | ⚽ | Aldo Kalulu · Sochaux |
| 35' | 🟨 | Sébastien Salles-Lamonge · Bastia |
| 43' | 🟨 | Abdoulaye Ndiaye · Bastia |
| 67' | 🟨 | Tom Ducrocq · Bastia |
| 73' | ⚽ | Frank Magri · Bastia |
| 75' | 🟨 | Benjamin Santelli · Bastia |
| 76' | ⚽ | Kapitbafan Djoco · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 12 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 7 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Sochaux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 547.00 | 304.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 2.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1518.63 | 1593.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.80 | 14.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.83 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | -0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.90 | 63.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.77 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.80 |
| league points | 46.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.60 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 13.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.20 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.78 | 0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.28 | 28.43 |
| state index | 0.57 | 0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.38 | 0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |