← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Apr 1, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Lepaysant
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 39% | 2.46 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.07 |
| Pau FC win | 29% | 3.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Le Havre AC +0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over | 36% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | ⚽ | Samuel Grandsir · Le Havre AC |
| 83' | 🟨 | Xavier Kouassi · Pau FC |
| 83' | 🟨 | Christopher Operi · Le Havre AC |
| 83' | 🟨 | Quentin Cornette · Le Havre AC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Oussama Targhalline · Le Havre AC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 6 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 0 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stade Nouste Camp |
| coach days | 1004.00 | 304.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1430.06 | 1605.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.33 | 2.50 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.45 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.86 |
| league points | 33.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 14.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 2.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.19 | 0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.23 | 26.31 |
| state index | -0.35 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.63 | 1.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |