← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Apr 1, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Angoula
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 42% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Valenciennes win | 29% | 3.67 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes +0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
| Paris FC +0.25 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.61 |
| Over | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Adrian Grbić · Valenciennes |
| 33' | ⚽ | Morgan Guilavogui · Paris FC |
| 38' | ⚽ | Morgan Guilavogui · Paris FC |
| 40' | 🟨 | Julien Masson · Valenciennes |
| 43' | 🟨 | Morgan Guilavogui · Paris FC |
| 45' | ⚽ | Adrian Grbić · Valenciennes |
| 58' | ⚽ | Morgan Guilavogui · Paris FC |
| 62' | ⚽ | Mohamed Kaba · Valenciennes |
| 72' | 🟨 | Quentin Lecoeuche · Valenciennes |
| 80' | ⚽ | Yoan Koré · Paris FC |
| 85' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 8 | Shots | 20 |
| 7 | On target | 10 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.82 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| 90' | ⚽ | Khalid Boutaïb · Paris FC |
| coach days | 0.00 | 669.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1425.65 | 1496.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.33 | 6.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.64 | 0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.00 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.70 |
| league points | 35.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.40 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 13.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.20 | 1.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.02 | 30.31 |
| state index | -0.54 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | 1.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |