← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Apr 1, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Paradis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Dijon win | 22% | 4.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dijon −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Caen −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.56 |
| Over | 39% | 2.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Zargo Touré · Dijon |
| 54' | 🟨 | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 60' | ⚽ | Bilal Brahimi · Caen |
| 68' | 🟨 | Zargo Touré · Dijon |
| 70' | ⚽ (pen) | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Dijon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 669.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 3.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1507.03 | 1393.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.06 | -6.08 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.42 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 49.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| league points | 43.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 13.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 0.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.50 | 0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.76 | 27.51 |
| state index | 0.37 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 0.88 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |