← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Mar 18, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Lesage
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dijon win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Pau FC win | 23% | 4.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dijon −0.25 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Pau FC −0.25 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Sessi D'Almeida · Pau FC |
| 30' | ⚽ | Yanis Begraoui · Pau FC |
| 40' | 🟨 | Jean Lambert Evan's Allan · Pau FC |
| 50' | 🟥 | Matteo Ahlinvi · Dijon |
| 54' | 🟨 | Xavier Kouassi · Pau FC |
| 59' | 🟨 | Mickaël Le Bihan · Dijon |
| 85' | 🟨 | Steeve Beusnard · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 13 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dijon | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Gaston-Gérard |
| coach days | 290.00 | 990.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 2.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1405.28 | 1418.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.40 | -19.26 |
| eye test v1 | -0.89 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.90 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.70 |
| league points | 27.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.06 | 0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.37 | 27.24 |
| state index | -0.48 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.63 | 0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |