← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Mar 18, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Turpin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 61% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Valenciennes win | 14% | 7.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes −1 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Caen −1 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Bilal Brahimi · Caen |
| 30' | ⚽ | Ugo Bonnet · Valenciennes |
| 45' | 🟨 | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 63' | 🟨 | Hugo Vandermersch · Caen |
| 77' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mohamed Hafid · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 655.00 | 1386.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -6.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 1.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.78 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1500.57 | 1432.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.72 | 2.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.00 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 63.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.56 |
| league points | 40.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 68.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | -1.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.22 | 25.54 |
| state index | 0.09 | -0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | -0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |