← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Mar 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Paradis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 43% | 2.24 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| AS Saint-Étienne win | 27% | 3.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| AS Saint-Étienne −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Victor Lobry · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 47' | 🟨 | Quentin Cornette · Le Havre AC |
| 58' | ⚽ | Nabil Alioui · Le Havre AC |
| 61' | 🟨 | Anthony Briançon · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 66' | ⚽ (pen) | Victor Lekhal · Le Havre AC |
| 68' | ⚽ | Abdoul Kader Bamba · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 71' | 🟨 | Jamal Thiaré · Le Havre AC |
| 79' | 🟥 | Léo Pétrot · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 82' | 🟨 | Arouna Sangante · Le Havre AC |
| 85' | ⚽ | Jean-Philippe Krasso · AS Saint-Étienne |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | AS Saint-Étienne |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 |
| venue | Stade Océane |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 290.00 | 260.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1609.84 | 1508.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.98 | 29.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.40 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.91 | — |
| league points | 59.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 4.76 | 6.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 2.11 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.83 | 0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.17 | 26.43 |
| state index | 0.58 | 0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.08 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |