← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Mar 11, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Landry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 42% | 2.31 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Dijon win | 26% | 3.79 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Dijon −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.59 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Saturnin Allagbe · Dijon |
| 11' | 🟨 | Cheik Traoré · Dijon |
| 25' | 🟨 | Cheik Traoré · Dijon |
| 25' | 🟥 | Cheik Traoré · Dijon |
| 34' | ⚽ | Amine El Ouazzani · Guingamp |
| 41' | 🟨 | Stephen Quemper · Guingamp |
| 55' | 🟨 | Baptiste Roux · Guingamp |
| 85' | ⚽ | Jacques Siwe · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Dijon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 679.00 | 283.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1449.05 | 1416.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.05 | -6.61 |
| eye test v1 | 0.00 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | 51.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.69 |
| league points | 34.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | 0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.60 | 27.40 |
| state index | -0.29 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |