← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Mar 4, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Petit
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.31 |
| Guingamp win | 23% | 4.18 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Paris FC −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.59 |
| Over | 38% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Paul Lasne · Paris FC |
| 26' | ⚽ | Hugo Picard · Guingamp |
| 32' | ⚽ | Baptiste Guillaume · Guingamp |
| 47' | ⚽ | Morgan Guilavogui · Paris FC |
| 63' | 🟨 | Samir Sophian Chergui · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Charléty |
| coach days | 641.00 | 672.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.97 | 2.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1499.47 | 1435.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.97 | -18.15 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.71 |
| league points | 34.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.80 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.20 | 0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 29.46 | 25.40 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.82 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |