← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Feb 25, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Landry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 38% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Rodez win | 30% | 3.36 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez +0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Bastia +0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.52 |
| Over | 37% | 2.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Kylian Kaiboue · Bastia |
| 42' | 🟨 | Martin Adeline · Rodez |
| 45' | 🟨 | Lloyd Palun · Bastia |
| 60' | ⚽ | Christophe Vincent · Bastia |
| 79' | 🟨 | Kevin Van Den Kerkhof · Bastia |
| 85' | 🟨 | Kapitbafan Djoco · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 25 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Paul Lignon |
| coach days | 86.00 | 512.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 3.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1401.63 | 1484.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.52 | -32.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | -0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 63.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.79 |
| league points | 23.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.06 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.26 | 27.37 |
| state index | -0.66 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |