← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Feb 25, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Petit
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz win | 58% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
| Nimes win | 17% | 5.89 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz −0.75 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Nimes −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | ⚽ | Georges Mikautadze · Metz |
| 31' | 🟨 | Guessouma Fofana · Nimes |
| 67' | ⚽ | Youssef Maziz · Metz |
| 90' | 🟨 | Maël de Gevigney · Nimes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 4 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Metz | Nimes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Saint-Symphorien |
| coach days | 269.00 | 116.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1573.93 | 1402.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.52 | -2.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | 0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.56 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.75 |
| league points | 41.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.75 | 0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.30 | 24.89 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.44 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |