← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Feb 25, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Souifi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dijon win | 34% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Valenciennes win | 33% | 2.99 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dijon +0 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Valenciennes +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.47 |
| Over | 35% | 2.79 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟨 | Adama Fofana · Dijon |
| 49' | ⚽ | Mickaël Le Bihan · Dijon |
| 51' | ⚽ | Mohamed Kaba · Valenciennes |
| 55' | ⚽ (pen) | Adrian Grbić · Valenciennes |
| 72' | ⚽ | Xande Silva · Dijon |
| 79' | 🟨 | Ousseynou Thioune · Dijon |
| 82' | 🟨 | Salim Ben Seghir · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Dijon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 1365.00 | 269.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 2.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1426.98 | 1403.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.24 | -43.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.26 | -0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.70 | 51.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.60 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.67 |
| league points | 31.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.14 | 27.37 |
| state index | -0.54 | -1.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | 0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |