← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Feb 25, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Valnet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 40% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.88 |
| Grenoble win | 27% | 3.68 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble +0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Le Havre AC +0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.43 |
| Over | 33% | 2.89 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Jessy Benet · Grenoble |
| 40' | 🟨 | Oussama Targhalline · Le Havre AC |
| 57' | 🟨 | Mamadou Diarra · Grenoble |
| 63' | 🟨 | Amir Richardson · Le Havre AC |
| 71' | 🟨 | Jamal Thiaré · Le Havre AC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 3 | Shots | 5 |
| 0 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days | 451.00 | 269.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 2.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1489.40 | 1606.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.33 | 9.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.47 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.90 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | — |
| league points | 40.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 6.83 | 6.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 2.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.33 | 0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.11 | 26.01 |
| state index | 0.09 | 0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.03 | 0.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |