← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Feb 18, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Lissorgue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz win | 42% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.06 |
| Dijon win | 27% | 3.63 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Dijon +0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Arthur Atta · Metz |
| 19' | 🟨 | Matteo Ahlinvi · Dijon |
| 49' | 🟨 | Adama Fofana · Dijon |
| 59' | 🟨 | Habib Maïga · Metz |
| 65' | 🟨 | Ismaël Traoré · Metz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dijon | Metz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Gaston-Gérard |
| coach days | 262.00 | 262.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.69 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1400.03 | 1577.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.75 | 9.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.66 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.69 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.30 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.79 |
| league points | 22.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 7.17 | 4.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | 0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.70 | 26.14 |
| state index | -0.95 | 0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | 0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |