← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Feb 18, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Léonard
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Grenoble win | 22% | 4.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Caen −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.49 |
| Over | 35% | 2.72 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Matthias Phaeton · Grenoble |
| 26' | 🟨 | Quentin Daubin · Caen |
| 64' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 66' | 🟨 | Franck Bambock · Grenoble |
| 90' | ⚽ | Norman Bassette · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 627.00 | 444.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 1.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1492.98 | 1497.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.17 | 16.75 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.66 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.81 |
| league points | 33.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 4.93 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.61 | 27.51 |
| state index | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |