← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Feb 11, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Landry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Valenciennes win | 26% | 3.76 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Valenciennes −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Jules Gaudin · Guingamp |
| 41' | ⚽ | Donatien Gomis · Guingamp |
| 60' | ⚽ | Baptiste Guillaume · Guingamp |
| 66' | ⚽ | Mathieu Debuchy · Valenciennes |
| 90' | ⚽ | Amine El Ouazzani · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 651.00 | 1351.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1429.86 | 1442.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -44.71 | -4.88 |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | 0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| league points | 27.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 7.93 | 7.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.69 | 24.04 |
| state index | -1.18 | -0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.44 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |