← Ligue 2 2022 · Fri, Feb 3, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: F. Benchabane
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 44% | 2.23 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Bastia win | 24% | 4.06 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Bastia −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over | 35% | 2.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Tom Ducrocq · Bastia |
| 40' | 🟨 | Bilal Brahimi · Caen |
| 50' | ⚽ | Anton Salétros · Caen |
| 61' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Ntim · Caen |
| 63' | 🟨 | Joris Sainati · Bastia |
| 69' | ⚽ (pen) | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 71' | 🟨 | Sébastien Salles-Lamonge · Bastia |
| 82' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 88' | ⚽ | Yohan Bai · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 612.00 | 490.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 5.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1474.12 | 1527.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.36 | 30.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 66.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.83 |
| league points | 29.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | -0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.39 | 26.75 |
| state index | -0.06 | 0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.03 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |