← Ligue 2 2022 · Tue, Jan 31, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: G. Paradis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Annecy win | 27% | 3.74 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen +0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Annecy +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | 🟨 | Romain Thomas · Caen |
| 48' | 🟨 | Ahmed Kashi · Annecy |
| 62' | 🟨 | Hugo Vandermersch · Caen |
| 64' | 🟨 | Hianga'a M'Bock · Caen |
| 67' | ⚽ | Clement Billemaz · Annecy |
| 76' | 🟨 | Francois Lajugie · Annecy |
| 80' | ⚽ | Kevin Testud · Annecy |
| 82' | 🟨 | Quentin Daubin · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Annecy | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Parc des Sports |
| coach days | 640.00 | 609.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1501.61 | 1485.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.56 | 4.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.80 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.71 |
| league points | 28.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 3.07 | 3.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.01 | 0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.77 | 26.25 |
| state index | 0.23 | -0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.36 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |