← Ligue 2 2022 · Tue, Jan 31, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Kherradji
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne win | 35% | 2.74 |
| Bastia win | 34% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.17 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne +0 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Bastia +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Niels Nkounkou · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 46' | 🟨 | Christophe Vincent · Bastia |
| 50' | ⚽ (pen) | Kevin Van Den Kerkhof · Bastia |
| 65' | ⚽ | Tom Ducrocq · Bastia |
| 66' | 🟨 | Kylian Kaiboue · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 12 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | AS Saint-Étienne |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 487.00 | 214.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 2.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1517.00 | 1480.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.38 | -4.78 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.30 | 48.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.79 |
| league points | 32.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 3.07 | 3.24 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.19 | 0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.45 | 26.70 |
| state index | 0.53 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |