← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Jan 28, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Paradis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 34% | 2.86 |
| Rodez win | 34% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Rodez +0 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Eric Vandenabeele · Rodez |
| 45' | 🟨 | Clément Depres · Rodez |
| 58' | ⚽ | Baptiste Guillaume · Guingamp |
| 63' | 🟨 | Marvin Senaya · Rodez |
| 72' | 🟨 | Baptiste Guillaume · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 0 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Paul Lignon |
| coach days | 58.00 | 637.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1412.15 | 1456.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.52 | -47.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.41 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.83 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 63.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.70 |
| league points | 20.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 14.93 | 14.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.22 | 0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.20 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.04 | 26.20 |
| state index | -0.25 | -0.88 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | 0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |